CHANCE OF FLARES: Big sunspot AR2473 is directly facing Earth, and it has an unstable ‘beta-gamma’ magnetic field that harbors energy for strong explosions. NOAA forecasters estimate a 45% chance of M-class flares and a 10% chance of X-flares on Dec. 26th 2015.
Ā http://stereo.ssl.berkeley.edu/multistatus.php